# Andrew Heaton — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 25%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 0
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 3
- **Clarity:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 25, 2024 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls

Heaton expected a very close election, marginally favoring Harris over Trump nationally, while saying he is fairly confident Republicans take the Senate and that Democrats probably win the House by only about two seats.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3fe00f91-ba78-4b47-a4aa-cf844773de96


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=andrew-heaton