# Anthony Salvanto — prediction record



## Is Anthony Salvanto accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 1 article, Anthony Salvanto scores 85% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 58.08, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 85%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 58.08
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 33.33% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 30, 2022 — scored 85 across 2 calls

CBS News' elections director said the network's district-by-district estimate has Republicans leading in 228 House districts, enough to win the House majority, and that Democrats show no strong sign of the youth turnout surge that could make the chamber even.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d927e51c-8c32-447b-93d9-d998cf9429b5


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=anthony-salvanto