# Ayrton Ostley — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 72.38%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 54.43
- **Graded articles:** 5
- **Graded individual calls:** 17
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (5)

### Apr 17, 2026 — scored 54.38 across 9 calls

Ausley walked through his final seven-round mock draft, having the 49ers take Utah offensive tackle Caleb Lomu at No. 27, Peter Woods to Houston at 28, TJ Parker to Kansas City at 29, Zion Young to the Chargers at 30, Arvel Reese to Arizona at 3, Dallas trading up to 8, Denver taking Mason Thomas at 58, the 49ers taking Malachi Lawrence at 62 and VJ Payne at 133.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/01ad8fa2-6e16-4d1a-9d0a-a088ab0b6ace

### Apr 16, 2026 — scored 34.38 across 3 calls

Ausley pegs Max Iannikor among the seven tackles going inside the first 50 picks (with a chance to sneak into round one), sees edge Gabe Jacas as a mid-second-round pick he mocked to the Packers, ranks Mansour Delaine and Jermott McCoy as the top two corners in the class, and lays out the 49ers' cornerback depth chart with Lenoir, Stout and Renardo Green starting and Jack Jones behind Stout in the nickel.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/91f37c3d-e95e-434d-be44-0b28fe3f32eb

### Apr 3, 2026 — scored 81.74 across 2 calls

Ostley has consistently mocked Utah tackle Caleb Lomu to the 49ers at No. 27, believes Cassius Howell's short arms drop him out of the first round, and sees Derek Moore and Gabe Akas as second-round edge rushers.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/875edb4a-120e-463e-bebb-da885bf1fb65

### Mar 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Ausley says Utah tackle Spencer Fano will be gone inside the top 12 picks and that a team will trade up into the first round for quarterback Ty Simpson.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4cce4e7f-d929-45b1-a6a5-6e15217b2ee3

### Feb 26, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Ostley predicts Mississippi State receiver Brandon/Brennan Thompson runs the fastest 40-yard dash at the combine, expects Mac Jones to be traded to the Vikings, and offers combine performance expectations for several prospects.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/149c742e-7b2f-4669-9803-c1936efe4f66


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=ayrton-ostley
