# Bill Bender — prediction record



## Is Bill Bender accurate?

Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Bill Bender scores 92.86% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 20.8, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 92.86%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 20.8
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 1
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 28, 2026 — scored 92.86 across 1 call

Bender picked the Packers to win 27-22 over the Panthers.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fc4dff4a-3f8a-42f0-a3ca-8a7e53e81ef1


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=bill-bender