# Bob Vander Plaats — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 86.98%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 46.22
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 3
- **Clarity:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Nov 4, 2024 — scored 73.95 across 2 calls

He rejected the Selzer Iowa poll and predicted Trump would carry Iowa by high single digits, win the presidency convincingly, and approach 300 electoral votes.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/472325ec-b86c-433a-b135-6134e4d70f47

### Oct 28, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call

Interviewed on the show, Vander Plaats said Trump has momentum heading into Election Day and will win decisively, finishing above 300 electoral votes, while Harris's campaign collapses.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6988c8c-13e5-49a8-8b08-84906d3eac55


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=bob-vander-plaats