# Brandon Carney — prediction record ## Is Brandon Carney accurate? Across 59 graded calls in 6 articles, Brandon Carney scores 74.21% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 45.72, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 74.21% - **MissedTakes Score:** 45.72 - **Graded articles:** 6 - **Graded individual calls:** 59 - **Clarity:** 96.09% - **Hedged:** 26.72% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (6) ### May 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Carney drafted a team of rookies they expect to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 ### Apr 22, 2026 — scored 75.7 across 18 calls Co-hosting a mock draft, Carney made the odd-numbered picks: Fernando Mendoza No. 1 to the Raiders, Arvell Reese No. 3 to the Cardinals, Sonny Styles No. 5 to the Giants, Mekhi Lemon No. 7 to the Commanders, Caleb Downs No. 9 to the Chiefs, and more. They also predicted AJ Brown will be a Patriot, said Kenyan Saddiq will be the first-round bust, and picked the Bengals to finish ahead of the Ravens in the AFC North. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7184a8b6-1036-4304-a147-3b8889e3f86b ### Mar 2, 2026 — scored 43.91 across 2 calls Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c228a7e7-4915-4bc7-bacc-8c9b3298c2c1 ### Feb 24, 2026 — scored 95.84 across 10 calls Carney predicted AJ Brown would not be back with the Eagles, forecast a wave of free-agent landing spots (Breece Hall to the Chiefs, Alec Pierce to the 49ers, Rico Dowdle to the Saints, George Pickens to the Patriots, Mike Evans to the Bills), and named Week 1 starting quarterbacks for several teams in flux. They also gave fantasy takes on Javonte Williams, Chris Olave and others. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9337347d-fde9-46c9-9bb6-26ade467538b ### Jan 13, 2026 — scored 73.96 across 8 calls Carney sticks with the Rams as their Super Bowl winner, picks the Patriots, Broncos, Seahawks and Rams in the divisional round, and makes a series of head coaching landing-spot predictions plus fantasy takes on Colston Loveland. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b2bf1bbe-9069-46d0-8b16-571d10a61b99 ### Jan 6, 2026 — scored 80.83 across 20 calls Carney made a full playoff bracket, picking the Bears, Niners, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, then Seahawks and Rams in the NFC divisional, Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, with the Rams beating the Patriots in the Super Bowl. They also gave award picks including Stafford for MVP and Vrabel for Coach of the Year. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88101820-7344-4240-93f1-caa15fe95de9 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=brandon-carney