# Brendon Nelson — prediction record

Brendon Nelson covers the Seattle Seahawks for Sports Illustrated, writing on roster moves, injury updates, game previews and the draft. The work also tracks the Bears, Cardinals and Rams when Seattle's schedule brings them into frame.

## Is Brendon Nelson accurate?

Across 6 graded calls in 5 articles, Brendon Nelson scores 60% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 2.27, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 60%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 2.27
- **Graded articles:** 5
- **Graded individual calls:** 6
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 61.31% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (5)

### Oct 9, 2026 — scored 50 across 1 call

Nelson predicts a low-scoring 20-17 Seahawks win, with Mike Macdonald's defense containing the 49ers and Darnold making enough plays.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6f97c7a7-525e-47e2-8350-9523c03ad679

### Sep 12, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls

Nelson expects Sam Darnold to miss the Cardinals game and likely the Commanders game, with Drew Lock starting in their place, and believes Seattle is good enough to beat both Arizona and Washington with Lock under center.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/469dc3bd-6091-4348-b19f-be27fb086457

### Aug 25, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Nelson expects Seattle to stick with Jason Myers as their kicker rather than replacing them, believing the team will give them time to work through their struggles; if Myers were injured, they'd guess Matt Prater is the replacement.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29145b53-7e14-4ff8-9b91-994e7e088c7f

### Aug 16, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

After a poor Seahawks preseason opener, Nelson argues several of the players who struggled — offensive linemen Bobby Hart and Logan Brown, and cornerback Shemar Jean-Charles — are unlikely to be on the final roster, and says the team currently lacks a viable fifth edge rusher and may need to look outside the roster.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44e19c03-51a0-4465-9597-a5272f856296

### Aug 9, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Recapping the Seahawks' mock game, Nelson suggests receiver Montorie Foster Jr shouldn't be counted out of the 53-man roster battle, and predicts rookie Rylie Mills will be a third game-wrecking interior defensive lineman for Seattle.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8b659235-87b4-4475-87ca-16000d16e20a


---

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=brendon-nelson