# Carl Cannon — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 97.25% - **MissedTakes Score:** 38.38 - **Graded articles:** 6 - **Graded individual calls:** 13 - **Clarity:** 100% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (6) ### Nov 6, 2024 — scored 100 across 3 calls Cannon said he half expects Republicans to take the Senate, treated the West Virginia seat as already lost to Democrats with Manchin leaving, and said Trump is poised to carry Ohio. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b2689d3e-dc9d-495f-bcc8-52599bb46dac ### Nov 5, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls Cannon said Democrats have already lost the West Virginia Senate seat and predicted, based on polling, that Republicans would also take Montana as a pickup. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e547bc00-0a2f-4c5f-a4a1-00db57d1e7ca ### Oct 30, 2024 — scored 98.1 across 1 call Cannon said he would be surprised if Trump failed to carry Georgia, expecting a narrow win there of roughly one or two points. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2435f8ad-b720-4029-8838-f33873070525 ### Oct 28, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls Arguing against the idea that Trump could win the national popular vote while losing the electoral college, he said Harris will carry California by at least 4 million votes and New York by at least 1.5 million. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7dc4b6fb-1181-42b4-8572-23fb20128608 ### Oct 25, 2024 — scored 100 across 4 calls Cannon argued the national popular vote is structurally tilted toward Democrats because Harris will carry California by roughly four million votes or more and New York by about 1.5 million, while Trump takes Florida and Texas by a few hundred thousand each. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/359b8fa7-d430-4dfd-8a76-56ed90de8b56 ### Oct 22, 2024 — scored 85.4 across 1 call Cannon said Maryland's presidential vote would go Democratic by about 30 points, which is part of why he thinks Larry Hogan's moderate Republican brand will not be enough in a nationalized Senate race. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3cdd23d-51d9-4ac0-9bb3-51caef5a82ed --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=carl-cannon