# Carter Bahns — prediction record

Carter Bahns covers the NFL for CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated, writing on trade deadlines, player movement and game outcomes across the league. The work touches the Chiefs, Bears, 49ers, Raiders, Giants, Ravens, Lions and Cowboys, with predictions on players including Khalil Mack, J.J. McCarthy, Shedeur Sanders and Lamar Jackson.

## Is Carter Bahns accurate?

Across 36 graded calls in 22 articles, Carter Bahns scores 64.23% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 37.74, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #18 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 64.23%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 37.74
- **Graded articles:** 22
- **Graded individual calls:** 36
- **Clarity:** 98.56%
- **Hedged:** 61.39% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (22)

### Nov 8, 2026 — scored 19.05 across 1 call

Bahns predicts a high-scoring Madrid game in which Atlanta's more reliable defense, bolstered by the return of pass rusher James Pearce Jr., gets the edge over Cincinnati, with the Falcons winning 34-30.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42354bb-2aa0-434c-b184-4315f447f9c9

### Nov 3, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Bahns argues the Bears are now a legitimate Super Bowl contender after their Week 8 win over Seattle and the Jeffery Simmons trade, projecting Chicago to challenge Minnesota for the NFC North and potentially earn the conference's No. 1 seed, with Caleb Williams in the MVP conversation and Ben Johnson's offense possibly the NFL's best for the rest of the season.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4ecdbe18-f44f-4264-91e7-f01c312ee177

### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Bahns leans toward Buffalo in its Week 8 home game against Baltimore, arguing the rested Bills are set up to outduel the Ravens whether Lamar Jackson returns or Tyler Huntley starts, with the Ravens in danger of a third straight loss.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3ef00cf9-aa68-44a8-8e9f-3fee0af73aec

### Oct 9, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Bahns expects Jacksonville to handle Philadelphia in the London game with no upset in store.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ecebd35f-8638-4d38-a0b8-c9fb7907fcff

### Oct 8, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls

Bahns expects the Jaguars, who they call the better team in both of their upcoming London matchups, to sweep their two overseas games against the Eagles and Texans.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8612f7e7-3595-4376-8f3b-e13898294f8f

### Oct 7, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Bahns argues the Cardinals are increasingly likely to move on from Marvin Harrison Jr. and lays out three trade scenarios sending them to Houston (for a 2027 third-rounder), Las Vegas (Harrison plus a 2027 seventh for a 2027 third), or Indianapolis (for a 2027 fourth).

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0bda8091-e422-4458-8363-d274f2d18cac

### Oct 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Bahns, in their losers column, expects the winless Texans to finally pick up their first victory the following week against the Tennessee Titans.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0852e4df-8ca1-4c6b-9cc4-15057c24b7bc

### Oct 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Bahns expects Houston to finally win its first game of the season the following week against the winless Titans, though they think the 0-4 start may already have doomed them. They also suggest Lamar Jackson's ankle injury is minor enough that they could return in Week 5.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/68f09891-cd50-4225-9d69-32080c0d4f13

### Oct 4, 2026 — scored 95.24 across 1 call

Bahns picks the Panthers to win a high-scoring Sunday night shootout over the Lions, 38-34, arguing both defenses are too leaky to slow the other offense.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9e55ea5c-7c01-4cdb-b467-71b22eae3633

### Sep 28, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Bahns argues the Dolphins, already 0-3 and now without De'Von Achane for the season, are among the least talented rosters ever and face a brutal schedule, identifying five road/home dates (at the Jets, at the Colts, vs. the Jets, at the Packers, vs. the Chargers) as their most winnable games while doubting they can even approach their projected win total.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8bdb56be-4c1a-45fe-8423-d581fce21da1

### Sep 23, 2026 — scored 75 across 4 calls

Bahns argues the Bengals are now a complete, top-tier team whose defensive additions can carry them back to the Super Bowl, while the Chargers' season may already be lost with road games at Buffalo and Seattle looking unwinnable. They also see the Saints as division favorites, picks Jacksonville over New England and expects the Eagles to reach 3-0 against a Bears team likely without Caleb Williams.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17699621-f07a-4623-b6c3-ae9b021d0b04

### Sep 19, 2026 — scored 50 across 1 call

They pick Jacksonville to win in Denver, arguing the market still undervalues the Jaguars and that the Broncos' offense under new play-caller Davis Webb won't score enough to keep pace.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f1b6765-6f6f-4600-95a2-8ca2115edda6

### Sep 12, 2026 — scored 76.19 across 1 call

CBS Sports picks the Vikings to beat the Packers 27-20 at home, arguing Green Bay's injuries and thin backfield make it a candidate to start slowly. It also lays out Minnesota's quarterback depth chart with Kyler Murray starting ahead of Carson Wentz and J.J. McCarthy, and MarShawn Lloyd leading Green Bay's backfield.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/40090d54-7fc7-4871-ae7b-8fdacb7d67cf

### Sep 11, 2026 — scored 47.62 across 1 call

Unsigned CBS Sports preview picks the Texans to beat the Bills in the Week 1 opener in Houston, 24-20.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fcecf6ea-f376-4c12-af2d-069a4f753bc3

### Sep 8, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

A CBS Sports piece names the Dolphins, Cardinals, Jets, Browns and Titans as the five teams most likely to compete for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft, and predicts Miami will lose four games to the Bills and Patriots.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d770cd52-bd0f-48f3-b628-08e10d0165d7

### Aug 31, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Bahns calls it reality that Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, with Deshaun Watson set to fail.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/18802de8-941e-4551-b6e3-df7a752020b6

### Aug 30, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

A CBS Sports preseason overreaction column argues Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, that Ja'Kobi Lane has a real path to a No. 2 receiver role as a rookie, and that Kenneth Walker III is a legitimate lead back atop the Chiefs' depth chart.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e82d31e3-169f-4419-a38c-ceaaa1d053a7

### Aug 28, 2026 — scored 0 across 2 calls

The unsigned newsletter names five big-name veterans it expects to be cut ahead of Sunday's 53-man roster deadline, saying not to be surprised if they are free agents by the end of the weekend.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/335e7525-e537-4e8d-8f46-297b444b6e76

### Aug 27, 2026 — scored 0 across 9 calls

A CBS Sports piece names 20 notable veterans it considers at risk of being cut before the 53-man roster deadline, with several pegged for the practice squad or outright release, and also sketches a few depth-chart pecking orders (Titans QBs, Panthers tight ends, Texans receivers, Eagles backfield).

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/94f49c83-2307-4f25-b10c-b1cba9df5dbc

### Aug 25, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

A CBS Sports piece expects suspended Vikings receiver Jeshaun Jones to lose their roster battle and be cut by the Aug. 30 deadline, given Minnesota's established receiver group.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/98c7155f-d05c-43cb-8c03-4f50d43211a8

### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

The newsletter says Shedeur Sanders' preseason Week 2 start may have won them the Browns' starting quarterback job over Deshaun Watson, and that Kirk Cousins will lead the Raiders' offense in Week 1. It also asserts Florida is the best college basketball team heading into 2026-27.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/551a6c15-18a9-488d-a1c2-52e7643735cd

### Aug 14, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Unsigned piece states Kirk Cousins, who started the Raiders' preseason opener, will also be the Week 1 starting quarterback, while suggesting rookie No. 1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza could eventually take the job if Las Vegas falls out of contention.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d1f095c-4039-4192-b023-126b2cc23e59


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