# Cenk Uygur — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 75.75
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Oct 30, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Uygur says Trump will carry North Carolina, pointing to the Harris campaign halting advertising there as a sign its internal polling shows the state is lost. He also says Democrats are headed for defeat in the presidential race because the campaign has failed to reach undecided voters.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4adb058c-ad55-45c8-b384-6f308eb9e37d

### Oct 26, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Weighing the national and swing-state polling, early-vote data and his own instincts a week out, he says his gut tells him Trump wins the presidency, comparing the feeling to the weekend before 2016. He also reads early mail-vote reporting out of Nevada as pointing to a Trump win there.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6ad0525-7caa-403e-97c2-0febbe9e12ac


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=cenk-uygur