# Chad Jensen — prediction record Chad Jensen covers the Denver Broncos for Sports Illustrated, writing about everything from roster battles to game previews. His work spans depth-chart predictions, fantasy analysis, and divisional matchups with the Kansas City Chiefs. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 69.73% - **MissedTakes Score:** -26.91 - **Graded articles:** 7 - **Graded individual calls:** 8 - **Clarity:** 97.06% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (7) ### Sep 26, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Jensen expects the Broncos to sign fullback Adam Prentice to the active 53-man roster early the following week rather than risk losing him on waivers, with a corresponding cut coming Monday. He also anticipates Denver will clear a roster spot for Jonah Coleman once the running back's four-game IR stint ends around Week 7. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/660f418e-5ec3-4df4-a4f3-1f4221b7a451 ### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 88.1 across 1 call Jensen, leaning on Sean Payton and Bo Nix's track record, picks a low-scoring Denver win over Jacksonville. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a8afb813-bddb-460a-ab61-73a99e5d643a ### Aug 25, 2026 — scored 0 across 2 calls Jensen lists six Broncos veterans who could be surprise cuts before the 53-man deadline. Despite the disclaimer, he commits to Troy Franklin making the roster, and expects Tycen Anderson and Drew Sanders not to survive cuts. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bf6874aa-f305-4be2-a868-19591c49e724 ### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Jensen suggests Taylor Rapp's signing could bump Devon Key down to fourth on Denver's safety depth chart (Key had been the favorite for the No. 3 job), and asserts Key's roster spot is secure. He also expects Rapp may not debut until the Week 1 opener. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3301362b-49fa-493d-a0b9-62b7458d37ea ### Aug 16, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Jensen predicts Jarrett Stidham will hold the QB2 job in Denver while Sam Ehlinger stays third on the depth chart, and expects Ehlinger to be cut and hit the waiver wire at the end of the month since the Broncos won't carry three quarterbacks. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f7625a1-ca87-46c3-b4e2-701962ed8d22 ### Aug 15, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Reviewing the Broncos' 27-7 preseason win over Atlanta, Jensen said Jarrett Stidham has separated himself for the No. 2 quarterback job, pegged Riley Moss as the team's No. 2 cornerback and Jaleel McLaughlin as the RB4, and predicted rookie linebacker Red Murdock will make the roster with fellow linebacker Karene Reid also in good shape. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/692b014c-19ea-4b2a-b26d-f9c0f7097102 ### Aug 8, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Jensen says Pat Bryant is a genuine breakout candidate in Year 2 and effectively a top-tier receiver behind Sutton and Waddle, and that Kris Abrams-Draine has locked up the fifth cornerback spot on the roster. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/140512ea-16a2-42ad-8614-bcb74b320d6b --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chad-jensen