# Chris Long — prediction record ## Is Chris Long accurate? Across 35 graded calls in 9 articles, Chris Long scores 52.1% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -10.03, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 52.1% - **MissedTakes Score:** -10.03 - **Graded articles:** 9 - **Graded individual calls:** 35 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 20.43% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (9) ### Nov 6, 2026 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Previewing the Week 9 slate, Chris Long expects the Saints to beat Cleveland, the Colts to beat Dallas, New England to edge Green Bay, and Baltimore to beat the Chargers on Monday night. They also call the Packers a top-10 defense once Micah Parsons returns, names their top six quarterbacks of the season, and expects Brandon Ayuk to be released, with Will Lee and Trevion Henderson sidelined this week. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/623f8e00-789e-4239-9edc-5e1285346b9d ### Oct 30, 2026 — scored 90.48 across 3 calls Previewing Week 8, Chris Long leaned Pittsburgh over Cleveland, picked Tampa Bay to beat Atlanta 23-19, had Carolina beating Green Bay 24-20 on Thursday night, and said the Denver-Kansas City matchup tilts toward the Broncos. They also expected Jeffery Simmons to make their Bears debut Monday night and floated that this is Montez Sweat's last season in Chicago. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f3ebfd75-678e-4e1f-9f17-dcd4b91c9bbc ### Oct 23, 2026 — scored 94.44 across 3 calls Previewing Week 7, Chris Long takes Detroit over Green Bay and lands on a 27-17 Lions scoreline, picks Minnesota over a free-falling Colts team, and gives a Patriots-Bears score of 27-24. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/776d09e2-a306-484a-8ab6-288f6c2a86d5 ### Oct 16, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Long expects Jalen Hurts to miss time with the blood clot, thinks Lamar Jackson will sit against Cleveland and Saquon Barkley won't play against Carolina, while Marvin Harrison Jr. and Tank Dell should suit up for Houston in London. They also predict the Rams will blow out Arizona and that the winless Chargers finish 4-13. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6f9755e8-1ad0-4305-a05a-e63147eab7bc ### Oct 9, 2026 — scored 75 across 4 calls Previewing NFL Week 5, Chris Long expects the Jaguars to beat the Eagles in London, picks the Browns, Steelers and Texans to win their games, names the Falcons as NFC South champions, lists their current top five teams, and calls the Vikings and Texans sleeping giants. They also flag Ja'Marr Chase and Dallas Goedert as returning, Jake Majors starting at center for Philadelphia, and Baltimore having to pay Cam Jurgens 50-plus. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f626609f-9766-4234-9bf6-ec25237ae41d ### Oct 2, 2026 — scored 26.98 across 6 calls Previewing the Week 4 slate, Long picked the Lions, Jets, Cardinals, Colts and Bills to win their games, and predicted a Steelers win over the Browns on Thursday night by a 19-14 score. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41d446f1-9bf0-4509-b1ba-f3e8083ed9ee ### Sep 25, 2026 — scored 50 across 4 calls Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. They also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a ### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 92.26 across 4 calls Previewing Week 2, Long called New England a spot to bounce back against Pittsburgh, projected a 27-14 Patriots win, saw Eagles-Titans as a 23-10 grinder, liked the Rams' spot Monday night against the Giants, and wrote down a Bills 31, Lions 23 final for the Thursday nighter. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab903e00-9f1b-4862-91a6-96343679649c ### Sep 6, 2022 — scored 0 across 7 calls Long picked Josh Allen MVP, Davante Adams OPOY, Danielle Hunter DPOY, Dameon Pierce OROY, Quay Walker DROY, Jameis Winston Comeback Player and Nick Sirianni Coach of the Year. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d8951cd5-c1e1-47c2-85ee-6d5490f96a51 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chris-long