# Christian Rauh — prediction record



## Is Christian Rauh accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 1 article, Christian Rauh scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 91.5, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 91.5
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 1, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Rau picked Jacksonville to beat Cincinnati in Cincinnati, calling the Jaguars the better team because he doubts the Bengals' defense, and he expects Baltimore to blow out a struggling Titans team.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/479a0308-b807-4287-bda6-8d8b44ec4fba


---

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=christian-rauh