# Chuck Pagano — prediction record



## Is Chuck Pagano accurate?

Across 10 graded calls in 4 articles, Chuck Pagano scores 25% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -57.33, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 25%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -57.33
- **Graded articles:** 4
- **Graded individual calls:** 10
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 0% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (4)

### Oct 22, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Pagano broke down the Thursday night matchup and picked the Bears to beat the Patriots at home, citing Chicago's run game, time of possession and New England's offensive line and secondary injuries.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/64ccc7a0-417d-4f96-b5d7-12abf5829e68

### Oct 15, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Pagano, after walking through their situational metrics, picked the Seahawks to win in Denver on Thursday night.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/523d21d9-a418-4277-a6c4-5cf5e5f7b08e

### Oct 8, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Pagano expected the Cowboys offense to keep rolling against Tampa Bay on Thursday night, saying it would take a miracle for Dallas not to score at least 31 points.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d6d40ffe-84df-4b13-94c3-8425a237cca3

### Sep 6, 2022 — scored 0 across 7 calls

Pagano picked Josh Allen MVP, Jonathan Taylor OPOY, Micah Parsons DPOY, Chris Olave OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Jameis Winston Comeback Player and Josh McDaniels Coach of the Year.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/12008f53-c255-43ab-88ff-93d2fa8a0cd6


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chuck-pagano