# Clay Travis — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 98.33% - **MissedTakes Score:** 74.15 - **Graded articles:** 12 - **Graded individual calls:** 27 - **Clarity:** 100% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (12) ### Nov 4, 2024 — scored 100 across 4 calls Travis says he is most confident of all about Republicans winning back the Senate majority, counts West Virginia as a Republican pickup, and calls Bernie Moreno the next senator from Ohio and Marsha Blackburn a sure winner in Tennessee. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ad214907-640b-4318-93d7-c7898ed7403d ### Nov 2, 2024 — scored 80 across 5 calls Travis predicted Kamala Harris will lose the presidential election, and specifically that she will lose Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia. He also said Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are more likely to go to Trump than Michigan. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b52a600f-eb6e-4089-9800-a16771f4af93 ### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 100 across 3 calls Travis says Trump will win the presidency, driven by the economy, border and crime, while predicting a very tight race decided in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. He also says Trump has Ohio locked up and that Republicans will flip the West Virginia Senate seat with Jim Justice. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/74bb14b3-12ff-46ca-b63c-1d45efbd34cc ### Oct 31, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call Travis says he is cautiously optimistic five days out that Donald Trump is likely to win the presidential election on Tuesday, and he hopes Trump wins both the Electoral College decisively and the national popular vote. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d08cb932-dc4e-4ad3-9c6b-0e1667f88db9 ### Oct 30, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call Citing early-voting data, he predicted Trump would carry Florida by a double-digit margin, far above his three-point 2020 win there. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a0ceed9c-245b-40f8-8da5-c65e9419de69 ### Oct 29, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls Travis said he believes Trump is going to win the presidency, and he repeatedly described Jim Banks as the next senator from Indiana. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a1d692b6-29fb-460c-ab4a-89228007ca74 ### Oct 28, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls Travis said Kamala Harris would carry New York state, while arguing Trump would run unusually strong in New York City, and separately predicted Trump would be elected president again. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7c5633b4-769f-4b6f-855b-048aac969871 ### Oct 26, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call Travis is included in Sexton's statement that both hosts believe Trump will win the presidency. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67c0dc84-a35c-4ba1-bee0-34e6acf13a7c ### Oct 25, 2024 — scored 100 across 4 calls Travis argued that Trump is likely to win the presidency, that he will also carry the national popular vote, that he will win Ohio comfortably, and that Bernie Moreno will be Ohio's next senator. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4ae249c-4717-4905-bd01-a667d2ebc3ef ### Oct 24, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls Travis says Kamala Harris will lose the presidential election in twelve days, and separately says it seems highly likely Trump carries Florida by eight or more points. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99a2785b-592d-46f9-9c93-05ea127dc1d6 ### Oct 23, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call Travis predicted that Republican Senator Josh Hawley will easily defeat his Democratic challenger in Missouri. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e50cd23f-6ca5-4fb7-ab64-d3b7533269b8 ### Oct 22, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call Travis says he believes Trump will win the national popular vote, receiving more votes than Kamala Harris. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c97fa43f-35db-4542-b221-7595f3f10d55 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=clay-travis