# Cody Rourke — prediction record



## Is Cody Rourke accurate?

Across 12 graded calls in 3 articles, Cody Rourke scores 20% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -133.33, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 20%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -133.33
- **Graded articles:** 3
- **Graded individual calls:** 12
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 51.79% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (3)

### Sep 9, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Rourke names the Ravens as the bounce-back team most likely to be dangerous in the AFC again, and says Houston's defense alone should carry the Texans into the postseason. They also expect long snapper Mitchell Fraboni to be one of Denver's practice-squad elevations for the Chiefs game, and slots Pat Bryant as Denver's third receiver behind Courtland Sutton and Jaylen Waddle.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ecf0b4d8-7096-41e4-b8bd-f37d5cdcd8d5

### Sep 8, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Rourke expects the Broncos to finish either 13-4 or 12-5 and predicts they open the season by winning at Kansas City by at least 10 points.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b68b9fd4-0801-491f-8032-2eb58ddd49ff

### Jul 24, 2026 — scored 60 across 10 calls

Rourke predicts the Broncos finish 13-4 in 2026, going 4-2 over a brutal opening six games, sweeping Kansas City again, and losing only at San Francisco, at home to Seattle, at Carolina and on Christmas Day to Buffalo. They also expect Carolina to return to the playoffs.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/129244f8-9c9e-4e2a-917c-bc2c74cfee05


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=cody-rourke
