# Colleen Wolfe — prediction record ## Is Colleen Wolfe accurate? Across 13 graded calls in 5 articles, Colleen Wolfe scores 55% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 82.2, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 55% - **MissedTakes Score:** 82.2 - **Graded articles:** 5 - **Graded individual calls:** 13 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 18.18% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (5) ### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Picked the Seahawks to beat the Bears in Week 8. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0833f51b-6fa1-4374-ad7c-a8017add0bf8 ### Oct 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Wolfe picked the Vikings over the Colts, the Texans over the Giants in J.J. McCarthy's first start, and the Cowboys over the Eagles in Philadelphia. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5179ea76-665d-4032-a6fc-cbf25400991b ### Sep 16, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Guest-hosting a three-person power rankings draft, Wolf took the Bills at No. 1, the Ravens at No. 4, the Rams at No. 7 and the Eagles at No. 10, and they also expect Philadelphia to beat the Titans to go 2-0. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8837c284-5104-4506-8dc9-e747991000dc ### Jan 7, 2026 — scored 50 across 4 calls Wolfe picked Drake Maye as MVP over Matthew Stafford, Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel as Coach of the Year and Brian Flores as Assistant Coach of the Year. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7de0c97a-2087-43de-a431-055109710c8e ### Sep 2, 2025 — scored 16.67 across 6 calls Wolfe picks the Chargers to beat the Chiefs in the Brazil opener and lays out a final four of Bills over Ravens in the AFC and Eagles over Lions in the NFC, with Philadelphia repeating as Super Bowl champion. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8f3bda77-3afb-4542-a475-0cc9f182f6f8 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=colleen-wolfe