# Connor Rogers — prediction record ## Is Connor Rogers accurate? Across 70 graded calls in 12 articles, Connor Rogers scores 72.77% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 27.12, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #32 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 72.77% - **MissedTakes Score:** 27.12 - **Graded articles:** 12 - **Graded individual calls:** 70 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 14.36% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (12) ### Nov 6, 2026 — scored 90.91 across 11 calls Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/11646f69-18dd-4831-a7de-e4115ded875c ### Nov 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f137eeee-71a3-4de4-bfa0-50699d23e147 ### Oct 30, 2026 — scored 90 across 10 calls Rogers picked straight-up winners across the Week 8 slate, siding with the Bills over the Ravens, the Lions, Steelers, Jaguars, Bengals, Falcons, Raiders, Broncos, Rams, Patriots, Commanders and the Bears in Seattle. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14b3a81b-ba4d-4270-b122-8cfe7fc959b0 ### Oct 23, 2026 — scored 59.52 across 12 calls Rogers picked winners for every Week 7 game, taking the Chiefs to win in Seattle, the Packers to upset the Lions in Detroit and Dallas to win in Philadelphia, and said they don't expect a banged-up Arizona running back to play. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3ef360c7-68b4-41c2-841b-d77052cca866 ### Oct 22, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Rogers took the Bears to beat the Patriots on Thursday night in a close game, and expected two questionable Patriots defenders to play despite their injury designations. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/20895a4c-191d-42ba-80b7-d4f067287a54 ### Oct 16, 2026 — scored 44.44 across 9 calls Rogers made straight-up Week 6 winners, backing Jacksonville, Baltimore, New England, Chicago, Carolina, the Giants, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, the Rams and Green Bay. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/90d3ddfa-810c-458f-8462-4f65d1e657f1 ### Oct 15, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Previewing Thursday Night Football, they picked the Seahawks to beat the Broncos in Denver, saying Seattle's healthy defense would smother the Denver offense and win by at least a field goal. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/defaa0ab-4f56-486c-bd46-71c81d3158fb ### Oct 9, 2026 — scored 55.56 across 9 calls Rogers made straight-up winner calls across the Week 5 slate, siding with New England over the Raiders, the Saints upsetting Minnesota, the Colts winning in Pittsburgh, a Jets bounce-back over Cleveland, and the Rams edging Buffalo on Monday night. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd2f886c-aba0-4ade-bae2-d6fed624673b ### Oct 2, 2026 — scored 92.06 across 3 calls Rogers picked Green Bay and Kansas City to win outright while liking the underdogs to stay close, and called for Minnesota to beat Miami 21-6. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3886a49b-acd1-4ba6-8cf7-2bfad7f0bd7c ### Sep 25, 2026 — scored 60 across 5 calls Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c ### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 85.71 across 7 calls Rogers made their own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. They also noted Baltimore was their Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock them if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c2a0048-cb74-4da9-8ef4-695cc6571cdf ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Rogers predicted the Bills would beat the Lions in their new stadium on Thursday night, winning by a touchdown. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/feddcc68-c714-4448-9a45-6679a6dbd34e --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=connor-rogers