# Dan Orlovsky — prediction record



## Is Dan Orlovsky accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Dan Orlovsky scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 50%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 0
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** 93.33%
- **Hedged:** 36.67% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Nov 2, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Orlovsky picked Seattle at home over Chicago on Monday night and said Jonathan Taylor appears headed for a trade out of Indianapolis.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/38224844-de92-4e3e-90fc-ecb3cc44304d

### Sep 21, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though they thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/35fbf38d-85b0-4e52-b089-d8d9b6858e46


---

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=dan-orlovsky