# Dane Strother — prediction record



## Is Dane Strother accurate?

Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Dane Strother scores 75% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 50.5, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 75%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 50.5
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 3
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 28, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls

Strother, a Democratic strategist appearing as an analyst, said Montana's Senate race is already effectively decided for the Republicans, that the Republican will win Montana's 1st congressional district because the Democratic candidate failed to answer attacks, and that Democrats taking the House is essentially settled.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/691a2bf7-1104-449f-8d13-438948f70d41


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=dane-strother