# David Beard — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 101
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Beard said Republicans are all but certain to capture the West Virginia Senate seat being vacated by Joe Manchin, giving them one guaranteed pickup toward Senate control. He also argued that while a Tester comeback in Montana isn't impossible, no one should expect him to hang on.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/abc1a83c-85a9-403d-bf04-308e86e28faf


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=david-beard