# Domenico Montanaro — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 88.75%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 70.28
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 22, 2024 — scored 88.75 across 4 calls

He said Republicans are favored to take the open West Virginia seat and that Tim Sheehy is favored to beat Jon Tester in Montana, that Texas leans Republican with Cruz likely winning by three to four points, and that Trump will probably carry Montana by double digits.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4bc06f52-ef67-4398-b9c5-29ca5b639bb0


---

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=domenico-montanaro