# Erick Trickel — prediction record



## Is Erick Trickel accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Erick Trickel scores 70.24% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -40.38, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 70.24%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -40.38
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 83.33% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 40.48 across 1 call

Trickel predicts a close Broncos loss decided by a late Trevor Lawrence game-winning drive.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7fa7b734-457d-4153-9f59-869c84553f91

### Aug 15, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

After the Broncos' preseason opener, Trickel argued fullback Adam Prentice has shown enough value to earn a spot on the 53-man roster ahead of the team's fourth running back options (Jaleel McLaughlin, Tyler Badie, Cody Schrader).

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3b8bcd8c-c4ab-4a02-9bb6-39d20cae9d37


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=erick-trickel