# First Things First — prediction record

Published without a byline — this record belongs to the publication rather than to a named writer.

## Is First Things First accurate?

Across 1 graded call in 1 article, First Things First scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 167, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 167
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 1
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 23, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

The show's "Coach" used his Upset Alert selection on the New York Giants to beat the Houston Texans in Houston, arguing the Texans would be overconfident after their win in Jacksonville.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/45b1daae-4b25-4801-8cf9-a05815a80244


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=first-things-first