# Fran Duffy — prediction record ## Is Fran Duffy accurate? Across 11 graded calls in 4 articles, Fran Duffy scores 58.47% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 25.06, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 58.47% - **MissedTakes Score:** 25.06 - **Graded articles:** 4 - **Graded individual calls:** 11 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 43.75% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (4) ### Apr 10, 2026 — scored 40.26 across 2 calls In their new two-round mock draft, Duffy has the Cowboys selecting Tennessee cornerback Jermott McCoy at No. 12 and Oregon safety Dylan Thieneman at No. 20. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/da1fa6b5-24fa-448d-ac6b-f4dd71fdd489 ### Apr 6, 2026 — scored 48 across 3 calls The Cowboys' draft analyst laid out their board: the first cornerback drafted will be either Jermott McCoy or Mansoor Delaine, Francis Maui Noah goes third to Arizona in their upcoming mock, Carnell Tate is the first receiver off the board, Australian project Urey Bernard lands in round six or seven, and they stack the linebackers CJ Allen, Jacob Rodriguez, Anthony Hill in that order. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/26ae44c3-0756-4b87-868f-a9b2e5b4670e ### Mar 3, 2026 — scored 100 across 4 calls Duffy expects Sonny Styles to be picked inside the top 10, believes short-armed Ruben Bain will still go inside the top 15 (possibly top 10 or top 5), thinks Styles will come off the board before Caleb Downs, ranks Avion Terrell as their top cornerback, and has Stukes graded as a second-round pick against industry consensus. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c1cb2cdd-665e-4c51-8ce2-34bc7cbeb0a3 ### Feb 20, 2026 — scored 32.63 across 2 calls Duffy has Auburn's Keldrick Faulk as the No. 1 edge rusher in this draft class, ahead of Ohio State's Arvell Reese and Texas Tech's David Bailey, and defends taking them inside the top 10. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/45b14ee0-b8bd-4b42-8878-c4237e916cf6 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=fran-duffy