# Francesca Fiorentini — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 101
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 1
- **Clarity:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call

She argued that Democratic surrogates' handling of Gaza has cost them Michigan, saying the Harris ticket will lose that state, though she expected the rest of the blue wall to hold and some compensating pickup elsewhere.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bec9c88e-74a0-4c02-9e3a-29f88e56be2b


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=francesca-fiorentini
