# Gaston Mooney — prediction record



## Is Gaston Mooney accurate?

Across 4 graded calls in 1 article, Gaston Mooney scores 66.67% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 86.67, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 66.67%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 86.67
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Nov 2, 2022 — scored 75 across 4 calls

In a listener-style submission read on air, Mooney predicted that in 2024 Republicans will hold a filibuster-proof Senate majority along with control of the House and the White House.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6d1f7d5b-8fb3-4975-8158-96c45f6dfbf4


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=gaston-mooney