# Geoff Schwartz — prediction record ## Is Geoff Schwartz accurate? Across 7 graded calls in 3 articles, Geoff Schwartz scores 25.83% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -35.44, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 25.83% - **MissedTakes Score:** -35.44 - **Graded articles:** 3 - **Graded individual calls:** 7 - **Clarity:** 84.62% - **Hedged:** 50% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (3) ### Sep 25, 2026 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Filling in on the chips segment, Schwartz took Jacksonville to beat New England, the Bengals to beat the Steelers, and the Cowboys to beat the Ravens on the Brazil field. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/16a6038d-e679-4e3f-98bf-f0371ec25a14 ### Feb 19, 2026 — scored 40 across 2 calls Jeff Schwartz agreed the Lions are a team they could back to go over 10.5 wins given their softer schedule, and suggested Seattle regresses to roughly a 10-7 season after losing offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a59170dd-0f56-45ab-ad31-35fc93bfd55c ### Jun 2, 2025 — scored 4.17 across 2 calls Schwartz says they would likely pick the Bills to win the AFC this season, and agrees Jalen Hurts is the fifth-best quarterback in the league, giving them the slight edge over Jayden Daniels for now. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fae6451c-2ac9-42f8-acae-103dc23b83b1 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=geoff-schwartz