# Henry McKenna — prediction record Henry McKenna writes for Fox Sports and Sports Illustrated, tracking quarterback play and team trajectories across the NFL. McKenna's work covers the Patriots, Chiefs, Texans, Cowboys and Lions, among others, moving between weekly stock-market-style QB assessments and deeper dives on coaching decisions and roster questions. ## Is Henry McKenna accurate? Across 10 graded calls in 5 articles, Henry McKenna scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -55.24, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 50% - **MissedTakes Score:** -55.24 - **Graded articles:** 5 - **Graded individual calls:** 10 - **Clarity:** 93.75% - **Hedged:** 51.88% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (5) ### Oct 19, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls McKenna argues the Rams' problems run far deeper than injuries, that C.J. Stroud has forced Houston into an extension and the Texans can rip off four straight wins, that Jacksonville can still claim the AFC's top seed, and that Cleveland will move on from Deshaun Watson this offseason. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4177e758-4537-4e54-8e83-12cf4137fd5a ### Sep 22, 2026 — scored 100 across 5 calls McKenna's Week 3 QB Stock Market ranks the league's starting quarterbacks 1-32, with Josh Allen first, Bryce Young surging to No. 5, Patrick Mahomes at No. 4 and Cooper Rush last. They also predict the Chargers will lose each of their next five games against Buffalo, Seattle, Denver, Kansas City and the Rams. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/19588e73-4a8e-4894-a58c-2d16c19c5b9f ### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call After the Bills' 41-31 win over Detroit, McKenna argued Buffalo looks like a genuine Super Bowl contender and that Josh Allen would be MVP if the season ended now. They also predicted the Lions will beat the Jets next week, though not easily. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99e6f815-a4fd-4c2a-b461-1ce8d130a259 ### Aug 10, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call McKenna predicts Kyler Murray will win the Vikings' starting QB job over J.J. McCarthy, that Minnesota will make the playoffs if Murray cuts out the hero ball, that both QBs will play in 2026, and wonders whether rookie Carson Beck could unseat Jacoby Brissett as Arizona's Week 1 starter. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9025c533-03e6-4e1f-8773-b8ef2f1d46ea ### Aug 3, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call McKenna argues the Patriots are being underestimated as 3.5-point underdogs in the Week 1 opener at Seattle, implying New England can beat the Seahawks; they also name Romeo Doubs an upgrade at WR2 and Mansoor Delane as the Chiefs' likely CB1, and expects Mason Thomas to start for Kansas City. They suggest the Cowboys could win their division and floats rookie WR Cyrus Allen as a fantasy player to draft. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/140adcc4-e29d-494e-9447-43fe2614eeed --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=henry-mckenna