# Henry Olsen — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 97.5%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 54.67
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Nov 5, 2024 — scored 95 across 3 calls

Olsen's final call: Harris narrowly wins the national popular vote while Trump wins the electoral college 297-241, taking six of the seven swing states, with Michigan the one he is least likely to crack. He also forecast Republicans ending with 54-55 Senate seats and holding a narrow House majority.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95ac712b-4c9a-4c59-ad58-88552ecace4c

### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call

Reviewing early-vote data, Olsen said Nevada is the state where the numbers look best for Republicans and that he would give the GOP a slight edge there in the presidential race, while cautioning it is far from settled.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/948d1dc2-3d11-4f4c-a721-1d600f2006d1


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=henry-olsen