# Hondo Carpenter — prediction record Hondo Carpenter covers the Las Vegas Raiders for Sports Illustrated, writing on roster moves, trade deadline activity, and player contract developments. Carpenter's predictions have named Brock Bowers, Maxx Crosby, and Kirk Cousins, and extend to game outcomes and playoff positioning. ## Is Hondo Carpenter accurate? Across 13 graded calls in 10 articles, Hondo Carpenter scores 70% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 46.67, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #14 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 70% - **MissedTakes Score:** 46.67 - **Graded articles:** 10 - **Graded individual calls:** 13 - **Clarity:** 92.31% - **Hedged:** 34.19% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (10) ### Oct 23, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Carpenter picks the Raiders to beat the Rams at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, saying Los Angeles is walking into a buzzsaw. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/54480114-f5e7-42c5-a554-f08d06a71b37 ### Oct 20, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Carpenter argues the Raiders have a strong chance to upset the struggling Rams at Allegiant Stadium, calling the upset a realistic outcome rather than wishful thinking. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4685c58-6fcf-40e6-a236-34f5aa20e123 ### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Carpenter says the right guard competition currently favors Jackson Powers-Johnson over Caleb Rogers, though they expect Rogers to get starts at some point this season, and they project veteran DE Patrick Johnson to make the 53-man roster. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca5f809a-068e-4d04-b0fc-e392ed8f0c13 ### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Carpenter predicts special-teams linebacker Segun Olubi will make the Raiders' 53-man roster, with Las Vegas carrying five inside linebackers. They also note projections that the Raiders keep all three quarterbacks, including Aidan O'Connell. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bef79899-9859-4758-9cb0-e3400c3a6c8e ### Aug 22, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Carpenter projects the Raiders' 53-man roster will include 10 defensive backs (four safeties and six cornerbacks) and three quarterbacks, with Kirk Cousins kept barring a compelling trade offer. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d646fde9-b295-4ee8-a853-a1b9bfc8fb20 ### Aug 21, 2026 — scored 100 across 3 calls Covering the Raiders' preseason win over Houston, Carpenter predicted kicker Matt Gay has locked up the lone kicker spot on the 53-man roster, and that UDFA rookie Cian Slone will make the roster as well, while Malcolm Koonce will also make it despite an underwhelming camp. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/05f8485b-40df-4761-903c-28474571fe4f ### Aug 12, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Carpenter says rookie fifth-round cornerback Hezekiah Masses has already secured a spot on the Raiders' 53-man roster and will be an impact player in 2026, and they describe Kolton Miller as one of the league's top-five left tackles. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5e0a16b3-d81c-4435-a442-9ecc402f8459 ### Aug 11, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Carpenter says UDFA defensive end Cian Slone has impressed enough that they had them making the Raiders' 53-man roster in their latest projection, and identifies Spencer Burford as the team's starting left guard. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d335c16-5055-456a-8be9-038c8950efe3 ### Aug 8, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Carpenter calls Taron Johnson the best cornerback in the NFL, and says there is no kicking competition in Las Vegas — Matt Gay has locked down the job over Kansei Matsuzawa. They also frame Cian Slone's special teams work as what will get the UDFA onto the roster. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/caf4fd8b-890f-4c7e-80f2-e218a19f0b9f ### Aug 2, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Carpenter says rookie CB Jermod McCoy could turn out to be the biggest bargain of the 2026 draft class, and that UDFA RB Roman Hemby appears headed for the practice squad. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6c4bd41f-59bf-499f-ba41-230644d5182b --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=hondo-carpenter