# Ian Rapoport — prediction record Ian Rapoport covers the NFL for CBS Sports, NBC Sports, Sports Illustrated, Sharp Football Analysis, and several podcasts including Move the Sticks, NFL Live, The Pat McAfee Show, and The Rich Eisen Show. The predictions here center on player availability, contracts, trades, and draft positioning, with frequent attention to the Vikings, Bears, Packers, Ravens, and Rams. ## Is Ian Rapoport accurate? Across 6 graded calls in 5 articles, Ian Rapoport scores 97.07% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 91.36, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 97.07% - **MissedTakes Score:** 91.36 - **Graded articles:** 5 - **Graded individual calls:** 6 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 77.58% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (5) ### Feb 26, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Rapoport says Fernando Mendoza is widely believed to be the No. 1 overall pick, predicts Kyler Murray will be released by the Cardinals, suggests Breece Hall gets a transition tag rather than a franchise tag, expects the Colts to keep Daniel Jones (long-term deal or tag) with Alec Pierce then leaving as the top receiver in free agency, and forecasts a trade-heavy offseason. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b697e6c5-f19a-4258-8b0c-1de2f0a13dfe ### Feb 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Rapoport said they believe the Raiders will draft quarterback Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 overall pick, expects Miami to part ways with Tua Tagovailoa, thinks Malik Willis will have a strong market, and would be surprised if Kenneth Walker or Breece Hall received the franchise tag. They also predicted the Raiders' offensive line will play better with better coaching, that Mendoza likely won't throw at the combine, and that free agency will be trade-heavy. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1f9a391c-56d6-43ba-b5b2-3141c4e819f4 ### May 7, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call Rapoport expects the Steelers to add another wide receiver this offseason, likely from a group of veteran free agents, and expects Dallas to sign Pickens to a long-term extension if they play as they hope. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5be90319-9bd6-4c7f-9a25-a74673a624c5 ### Apr 24, 2025 — scored 85.35 across 2 calls Rapoport said Travis Hunter is likely the pick at No. 2 for the Browns, that Shedeur Sanders is in play at No. 3, and predicted Tetairoa McMillan would be the first receiver drafted. They also expected Brock Purdy's next deal to land around $50 million per year with Dak Prescott remaining the only quarterback above $60 million. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab1b5fb3-d399-4b59-87fa-3e683b3cad77 ### Mar 13, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call Rapoport said the Vikings appear set to go forward with JJ McCarthy as their starting quarterback, with a veteran behind them, rather than signing Aaron Rodgers. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fad27a94-ad45-41f2-87d5-f445427911fe --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=ian-rapoport