# J.D. Durkin — prediction record



## Is J.D. Durkin accurate?

Across 1 graded call in 1 article, J.D. Durkin scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 104, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 104
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 1
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 6, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Discussing how AI politics may shift after the election, they assume Democrats will take control of the House in November.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9be9bfb-5646-4583-8416-ce2082561681


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=j-d-durkin