# J. Miles Coleman — prediction record



## Is J. Miles Coleman accurate?

Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, J. Miles Coleman scores 66.67% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 66.67%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 0
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 3
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 20% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 6, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls

Crystal Ball's updated ratings move Alaska's Senate race to Leans Democratic for Mary Peltola, shift Alaska's governorship to Leans Democratic for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, downgrade Oregon's governor race to Leans Democratic while still expecting Tina Kotek to win, and move South Carolina's Senate race to Likely Republican for Darline Graham, with Minnesota's open Senate seat rated Likely Democratic for Peggy Flanagan. The overall ratings tally gives Democrats 213 House seats and 49 Senate seats at least leaning their way, Republicans 202 and 47.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6a1b3fe1-4a4a-4a33-9829-f9ec990fa79e


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=j-miles-coleman