# Jack McKessy — prediction record



## Is Jack McKessy accurate?

Across 9 graded calls in 2 articles, Jack McKessy scores 75% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 44.23, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 75%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 44.23
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 9
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 85.71% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Aug 2, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

McKessy makes way-too-early 2022 NFL awards picks: Mahomes for MVP, Jonathan Taylor for OPOY, Aaron Donald (or Micah Parsons if Donald retires) for DPOY, Kenny Pickett for OROY, Kayvon Thibodeaux for DROY, Michael Thomas for Comeback Player, and Mike Tomlin for Coach of the Year.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/809b1c24-f3cb-471a-b8b0-782bda9ec95b

### Feb 18, 2022 — scored 12.5 across 8 calls

McKessy's way-too-early 2022 NFL awards predictions: Mahomes for MVP, Jonathan Taylor for OPOY, Aaron Donald (or Micah Parsons if Donald retires) for DPOY, Kenny Pickett for OROY, Kayvon Thibodeaux for DROY, Michael Thomas for Comeback Player, and Mike Tomlin for Coach of the Year.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4cc35e2e-94fb-43d2-99ca-955810e42191


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jack-mckessy