# Jacob Herlin — prediction record ## Is Jacob Herlin accurate? Across 5 graded calls in 4 articles, Jacob Herlin scores 71.89% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 21.02, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 71.89% - **MissedTakes Score:** 21.02 - **Graded articles:** 4 - **Graded individual calls:** 5 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 55.56% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (4) ### Oct 20, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Herlin published Week 7 fantasy D/ST rankings with projections for 28 team defenses, led by Houston, Minnesota and Cleveland. They also expect Cleveland to post a fourth straight top-10 fantasy defense result, and predicts Jalon Daniels starts another week for Tampa Bay while J.J. McCarthy takes over as the Giants' starter. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf4a2992-3760-464e-b540-6182ebc4457f ### Sep 29, 2026 — scored 72.05 across 1 call Ranks all 32 team defenses for fantasy purposes in Week 4, with projected points allowed, sacks, turnovers and fantasy points, putting Minnesota first and Carolina last. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/594ed80e-c3ac-49aa-a927-751407fc26bf ### Sep 22, 2026 — scored 55.04 across 1 call Herlin ranks all 32 team defenses for Week 3 with projected points allowed, sacks, turnovers and fantasy points, putting Seattle first against a Mariota-led Washington and Miami last against the Chiefs. They also expect Sam Darnold not to start for Seattle this week despite returning to practice. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/10b1241b-8d4a-4c42-be12-2731cab8cff0 ### Sep 15, 2026 — scored 60.47 across 1 call Herlin ranks all 32 team defenses for Week 2 fantasy purposes, with Tampa Bay's defense on top against Deshaun Watson's Browns and Miami's defense last at San Francisco, providing projected points allowed, sacks, turnovers and fantasy points for each. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/85ff83bd-d084-4a73-b53b-53ad0b0be55f --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jacob-herlin