# Jared Koch — prediction record Jared Koch covers the Houston Texans for Sports Illustrated, tracking roster moves, injury updates and weekly matchups. Koch's reporting centers on C.J. Stroud, Nico Collins and Tank Dell through depth chart shifts and trade-deadline speculation. ## Is Jared Koch accurate? Across 19 graded calls in 12 articles, Jared Koch scores 73.61% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 81.18, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #1 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 73.61% - **MissedTakes Score:** 81.18 - **Graded articles:** 12 - **Graded individual calls:** 19 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 67.67% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (12) ### Nov 7, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2861ce9-d1de-4f34-b001-83e64c3f5770 ### Nov 3, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Koch expects David Montgomery to likely miss more time, leaving Woody Marks as Houston's lead back with a heavy workload and a strong performance against a weak Chargers run defense, and they favor the Texans to win the Week 9 game. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/43448c58-5e8e-4e8b-953d-6072c25fe54e ### Oct 28, 2026 — scored 83.33 across 1 call Koch predicts the Texans go 2-2 over their next four games — beating the Chargers 28-13 and the Colts 33-10 while losing to the Browns 20-21 and the Ravens 18-24 — leaving Houston at 4-7 after Week 12. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e4092761-b339-447d-9bcb-716a6b4db555 ### Oct 25, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Koch argues the Texans will beat the Giants in their Week 7 home game, citing Houston's defense against lesser quarterbacks, New York's weak run defense, and C.J. Stroud's hot passing. They also expect Woody Marks to lead Houston's backfield with Montgomery out. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/63708dcd-9e96-45c7-a35d-688ee0364bb7 ### Oct 11, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Koch argues the Texans remain the favorites to trade for Cardinals receiver Marvin Harrison Jr., predicting Harrison will likely be on a new team within a week and specifically that Houston could have them on the roster by Week 6. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cee8962a-105e-4817-8694-4d9566ebbd8c ### Sep 8, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Koch argues the Texans hold the advantage over the Bills in their Week 1 2026 matchup in Houston, based on returning personnel and past results against Josh Allen. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2efb7200-8a8f-4000-95e6-4c4ca2c7bd0e ### Sep 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Koch expects Brevin Jordan to be the odd man out among Houston's five tight ends and be inactive for the Week 1 game against the Bills, largely due to a leg injury. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e72db74e-4086-48d6-bb8f-1db483450348 ### Sep 4, 2026 — scored 0 across 2 calls Koch predicts several Texans practice squad players — notably the running backs and defensive backs like Jawhar Jordan, Noah Whittington, Lewis Bond, Bryce Hall and Alijah Huzzie — will be elevated to play at some point this season, and they suggest this Texans roster is the best of the DeMeco Ryans/C.J. Stroud era. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09749a8f-ee5b-4852-8d04-647870337430 ### Aug 25, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. They also see Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers they call virtual locks. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14048ef2-7210-46fd-825a-b9849c144a9f ### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Koch highlights five Texans preseason standouts, suggesting Jared Wayne could claim the final receiver roster spot, Aiden Fisher could sneak onto the 53-man roster, Jaylen Reed has locked in a Week 1 roster spot, Marlin Klein will climb the tight end depth chart, and Wade Woodaz has a solid chance at the LB3 role. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/80908eb0-4378-4d88-8dfa-936ca4556c28 ### Aug 22, 2026 — scored 100 across 4 calls Koch projects the Texans' wide receiver depth chart after Jayden Higgins' season-ending injury, naming Nico Collins, Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel as starters, listing backups and roster locks, and predicting Collins tops their 2025 receiving marks. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/74bc29c1-a3ec-4b20-bd4a-2766759c439b ### Aug 20, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Koch argues that with Jayden Higgins lost for the season, third-year receiver Jared Wayne's rising stock makes them likely to make the Texans' 53-man roster rather than the practice squad. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b71ff635-378d-4adf-ae7e-4443d1019207 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jared-koch