# Jason Fitz — prediction record



## Is Jason Fitz accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Jason Fitz scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -100, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 50%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -100
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 31.25% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Nov 1, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Fitz predicted Joe Burrow will win NFL MVP, argued Cam Ward is on track to be remembered as the worst No. 1 overall bust since JaMarcus Russell, said the Titans could very likely land the No. 1 pick again, expects Jacksonville to blow out the Colts, sees Indiana's Charlie Becker as a high first-round pick, and believes Lamar Jackson stays in Baltimore long-term.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b0053c55-e7b4-4cd5-b7ff-0f4f75a6eeda

### Mar 1, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Fitz predicts Anthony Richardson will be released rather than traded by the Colts.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ee35bc1d-baf6-45a8-b61d-ab58ba8c2d50


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jason-fitz