# Jerry Markarian — prediction record Jerry Markarian covers the Chicago Bears for Sports Illustrated, writing game recaps, matchup previews, and player analyses. His work tracks players across the roster from Caleb Williams to Tyson Bagent to Kalif Raymond, with predictions ranging from stat projections and depth chart calls to division outcomes. ## Is Jerry Markarian accurate? Across 9 graded calls in 5 articles, Jerry Markarian scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -61.2, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 50% - **MissedTakes Score:** -61.2 - **Graded articles:** 5 - **Graded individual calls:** 9 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 57.34% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (5) ### Oct 9, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Markarian expects Tyson Bagent to start at quarterback for Chicago at Green Bay and believes the Bears will win at Lambeau Field if they keep pressuring Jordan Love. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3d359bc5-42e7-42b8-a074-66698dfa1169 ### Oct 8, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Markarian predicts the Bears, despite starting backup QB Tyson Bagent, have a good chance to beat the Packers at Lambeau Field on Sunday. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/817325ac-3d69-4337-9f7f-7103f13df636 ### Oct 7, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls Markarian expects the Bears to keep winning without Caleb Williams, saying they should survive their next two games (against Green Bay and Atlanta) the way they have the past two weeks, and that they only need one or two more wins before Williams returns. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d7f355ad-d0e9-4211-8f02-56432f63323e ### Aug 28, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Markarian says Bears tackle Theo Benedet's spot on the roster is essentially secure as the team's top swing tackle, and suggests that if Benedet wins the left tackle job they could command roughly a $5-6 million deal in free agency next offseason, versus a near-minimum deal if they lose out to Braxton Jones. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5fb7220c-3e35-46fd-898a-ec8892287d94 ### Aug 10, 2026 — scored 100 across 4 calls Markarian expects Grady Jarrett, Gervon Dexter Sr. and Neville Gallimore to be locks as the Bears' top three defensive tackles, with Jordan van den Berg also likely to make the roster, and sees Kentavius Street as the favorite for the last DT spot over James Lynch and UDFA Jayden Loving — though Loving could win it with a strong preseason or land on the practice squad. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65773f49-32e0-4b30-8a92-d10c38d51294 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jerry-markarian