# Jesse Holley — prediction record



## Is Jesse Holley accurate?

Across 15 graded calls in 3 articles, Jesse Holley scores 69.44% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 20.83, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 69.44%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 20.83
- **Graded articles:** 3
- **Graded individual calls:** 15
- **Clarity:** 92.86%
- **Hedged:** 16.07% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (3)

### Sep 3, 2026 — scored 55.56 across 9 calls

Jesse predicted the Cowboys finish 10-7 but still win the NFC East with 10 wins, picking Dallas over the Giants, Commanders, Texans, Buccaneers, Colts (loss), and losing to Baltimore, Green Bay, Philadelphia twice, Arizona, Seattle and the Rams.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c8bf64dc-c1b3-42db-86f8-51b862676332

### Aug 25, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Holley expects Jay Toia to stick on the defensive line, Marist Liufau to make the team as a special teamer, Devin Moore to make the roster, and Joe Milton to be the backup quarterback ahead of Sam Howell.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8ee3ec22-e4c4-4583-826a-c56e4b15f0c5

### Jan 16, 2026 — scored 45 across 5 calls

Jesse picked the 49ers to beat Seattle (expecting Sam Darnold to revert to form), the Texans over New England, and the Rams over the Bears. They also called Oregon's tight end a first-round player and ranked the Giants' new head coach as the best in the NFC East ahead of Quinn and Schottenheimer.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ac1244ea-9b1b-4b60-b3e6-f7beb62adf4c


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jesse-holley