# Joe Haden — prediction record ## Is Joe Haden accurate? Across 8 graded calls in 4 articles, Joe Haden scores 92.82% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 91.52, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 92.82% - **MissedTakes Score:** 91.52 - **Graded articles:** 4 - **Graded individual calls:** 8 - **Clarity:** 93.75% - **Hedged:** 21.88% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (4) ### Mar 3, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Asked which receiver prospect their team should take, they said Tate is the best of the group and predicted Tate will be the first receiver drafted, with Jordyn Tyson and "Limon" as fallbacks. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c2f318ba-6598-4a2e-b34b-b0c4e6852e49 ### Feb 27, 2026 — scored 61.7 across 3 calls Joe (the Browns-affiliated co-host) argues Shedeur Sanders is still the best quarterback of this class but concedes Fernando Mendoza will be the No. 1 overall pick, and they play the combine 40-yard dash props on Caleb Downs, Zachariah Branch and Haynes King. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f7934260-519f-41c4-9a92-e1799642d57c ### Feb 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 3 calls Joe picked the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl, saying Kenneth Walker would run for roughly 120 yards and be the game's MVP because New England would have to devote coverage to Jaxon Smith-Njigba. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/68d7f7c1-4d2c-474c-b713-47bad8d660d2 ### Nov 10, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call Hayden argued Matthew Stafford is leading the MVP race and that this could be the year they finally win the MVP award. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/36e19161-62af-468b-a46d-1c26ccdc9af4 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=joe-hayden