# Joe Johnson — prediction record

Joe Johnson appears on Nightcap, where predictions cover the Dallas Cowboys, Cleveland Browns, Chicago Bears and Pittsburgh Steelers. The calls include game outcomes, player awards, quarterback situations and player movement.

## Is Joe Johnson accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Joe Johnson scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 186, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 186
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 16.67% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Oct 1, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Johnson backed their Cowboys to beat Houston and drop the Texans to 0-4.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2bea1ed0-2fb7-4a58-80d5-45c7e09e1cd7

### Sep 26, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Johnson predicted Joey Porter Jr. would not actually suit up against the Bengals despite their talk, and said Arizona should trade Marvin Harrison Jr. for a change of scenery.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/639d45fe-c93b-44d7-8842-4e1c41c5154d


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=joe-johnson