# John Breech — prediction record John Breech has been covering the NFL at CBS Sports since 2011, where he writes about everything from weekly game picks to season-long playoff projections. His predictions span the league, touching on teams like the Bills, Lions, Cowboys, and Bengals, and he's a regular contributor to CBS Sports' expert picks and season previews. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 41.97% - **MissedTakes Score:** -9.1 - **Graded articles:** 20 - **Graded individual calls:** 93 - **Clarity:** 98.95% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (20) ### Sep 28, 2026 — scored 19.05 across 1 call Breech picked the Eagles to beat the Bears 23-16 on Monday night, and expected Jameis Winston to start at quarterback for the Giants in Week 4 against Arizona while newly acquired J.J. McCarthy gets up to speed. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a6e98531-b302-4613-b490-06830338ade7 ### Sep 25, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Picked the Seahawks to beat the Commanders in Week 3. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4f8c9d25-fae1-45fd-bcd8-c0ecbedb9731 ### Sep 23, 2026 — scored 45.24 across 1 call Presenting CBS Sports' simulation of the rest of the season, he projects the full 14-team playoff field — Chiefs as AFC No. 1 seed and Seahawks as NFC No. 1 — and picks every playoff game score through Super Bowl LXI, where Seattle beats Kansas City 20-19 to win back-to-back titles. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/059e283f-cead-4908-8c14-a522cf1c8c65 ### Sep 22, 2026 — scored 62.95 across 16 calls Breech predicts the Dolphins will miss the playoffs and may go winless, and picks every Week 3 game with scores, including Texans over Colts, a Buccaneers upset of Minnesota, Ravens over Cowboys in Brazil, Saints over Raiders and Broncos over Rams. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c21157cd-927c-43dc-98a2-60f4224ba22e ### Sep 21, 2026 — scored 54.76 across 1 call Breech expects Caleb Williams to return quickly from his hamstring injury, at the latest by Week 4 against the Jets or Week 5 against the Packers, and he picked the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday night. He also floated the Saints as a potential surprise team this season. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/66fd2840-c785-4c7f-9284-eb570c4dd0c4 ### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Picks the Eagles over the Titans. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/87828a99-a08d-4406-9a0b-c665056c4218 ### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls Breech has San Francisco routing Miami 38-16 and says the Dolphins are headed for an 0-17 season; he also picks Arizona to upset Seattle 20-17. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/437a6bd1-ac3a-4745-8c35-137f4d364b0a ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 46.43 across 2 calls Breech picks the Bills to beat the Lions 38-31 on Thursday night, floats the game as a Super Bowl preview, and takes the Cardinals to upset the Seahawks 20-17 in Week 2. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f42c4080-99e0-449b-b2fa-05e18ce6f922 ### Sep 16, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call A CBS Sports piece presenting analytics expert Stephen Oh's post-Week 1 simulation projects the full AFC and NFC playoff fields, every playoff game result, and the Seahawks beating the Ravens in Super Bowl LXI. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2839d22f-be27-4091-a4c5-4e09ecb3747a ### Sep 16, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Breech expects more upsets in NFL Week 2, specifically picking the Cardinals to beat the Seahawks, who may be without Sam Darnold. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/279e13ea-7477-4ca6-9e67-0bc53271b3e7 ### Sep 15, 2026 — scored 64.73 across 16 calls Breech picks every Week 2 game with scores, takes the Cardinals to upset the Seahawks, sees a Bills-Lions shootout, predicts Baker Mayfield's revenge win over Cleveland, and says the Browns will miss the playoffs while the Dolphins go winless. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eb6d274b-c294-4c3d-ba42-d3dee06c6e87 ### Sep 14, 2026 — scored 4.76 across 1 call In the Pick Six newsletter, Breech picks the Broncos to upset the Chiefs on Monday night, 23-21. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/31f3511a-a211-46e0-a6dd-d2cfb70ee207 ### Sep 13, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls Breech picks the Texans to upset the Bills in Houston, trusting Houston's defense to smother Josh Allen, and takes the Raiders to beat the Dolphins by at least a touchdown. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9da8cc61-bdc3-40fd-bd7f-c02c99fe7b00 ### Sep 9, 2026 — scored 0 across 2 calls A CBS Sports piece presents SportsLine's simulation of the entire 2026 season, projecting both conferences' playoff fields, division winners, win totals, every playoff game, and the Rams beating the Ravens in Super Bowl LXI. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f2f7d1ca-1f9b-4646-abf6-21ea106a4623 ### Sep 8, 2026 — scored 56.4 across 16 calls Breech makes score picks for every Week 1 game of the 2026 season, and references his season preview in which he has the Bills winning the AFC East and the Texans winning the AFC South, both at 11-6. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b823d5ce-fc63-4d24-9f48-839f494b538a ### Sep 7, 2026 — scored 14.29 across 1 call A CBS Sports annual Labor Day predictions column forecasts every team's 2026 record, all eight division winners, both playoff fields with full bracket scores, individual award winners, and the top five picks of the 2027 draft, ultimately picking the Bengals to beat the Cowboys 27-23 in Super Bowl LXI. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5520649c-0f51-4c45-8c3a-59d7e9f72497 ### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1e520b2b-bf4e-4a82-9743-7cb7bc3ee125 ### Aug 19, 2026 — scored 70.83 across 24 calls A CBS Sports piece predicts the week each NFL team will suffer its first loss, effectively picking winners in each of those games, and names the Ravens as the league's final undefeated team after a 7-0 start. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/50eb251e-cf6b-417d-a0d6-bccba95e06fc ### Aug 14, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls In a preseason Week 1 winners-and-losers piece, CBS Sports says Bengals receiver Dohnte Meyers is now likely to make the roster, suggests fantasy drafters consider 49ers rookie De'Zhaun Stribling, expects Kirk Cousins rather than rookie Fernando Mendoza to start Week 1 for the Raiders, and suggests Anthony Richardson has moved ahead of Riley Leonard for the Colts' backup quarterback job. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d028cdb8-972f-4e80-af43-d5f967fdd8f4 ### Aug 13, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call The unsigned Pick Six newsletter expects Seth McLaughlin to step into the Lions' starting center job with Cade Mays injured, and suggests Tua Tagovailoa is on track to be Atlanta's Week 1 starting quarterback. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a040e9f9-5016-4dce-b2b3-a4c411e950f5 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. 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