# Josh Pate — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 50
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 1
- **Clarity:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Sep 6, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call

Pate expects Arch Manning to be a pretty good but not transcendent quarterback this season, thinks Bryce Underwood is a genuine star, and predicts Michigan will be in the national championship conversation in 2026 while remaining poor at receiver in 2025. He is out on Bill Belichick lifting North Carolina beyond its historical seven-to-eight-win level.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/297601c7-58bc-4eaa-b101-fabb95c7fc40


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=josh-pate