# Justin Pugh — prediction record



## Is Justin Pugh accurate?

Across 4 graded calls in 1 article, Justin Pugh scores 92.89% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 50, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 92.89%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 50
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 0% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Apr 12, 2025 — scored 92.89 across 4 calls

In the mock draft they took Travis Hunter third to the Giants, Ashton Jeanty sixth to the Raiders, Kelvin Banks 11th to the 49ers and Colston Loveland 14th to the Colts; they also called the Cardinals a team to look out for.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5a07a44-5796-4a24-a359-b199a57b3cac


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=justin-pugh