# Justin Robert Young — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 68.75%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -4.67
- **Graded articles:** 4
- **Graded individual calls:** 8
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (4)

### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls

Young makes his final 2024 call: Trump wins the presidency, Republicans take the Senate, and Democrats hold the House.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7512910e-28e6-4892-a48b-4263aa65890f

### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 100 across 3 calls

Young said he was leaning toward the Republican side of the ledger, tending to believe Trump wins, and did not expect the Texas and Florida races to flip to Democrats.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c5ed254d-d1bc-4056-afbc-6c5a01006e15

### Oct 30, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call

Discussing Senate candidates' advertising, he treated Ohio as a state Donald Trump was certain to carry in the presidential race.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d6802e95-06ff-4e50-9907-1019d3bc9dab

### Oct 23, 2024 — scored 0 across 1 call

Young said it appears Democrats will carry Nebraska's 2nd District and its single electoral vote.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/356e8e35-c7ef-49d2-b184-332dbf88ace9


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=justin-robert-young