# Kirk Bado — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 72.42%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 22.42
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 7
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 96.56 across 3 calls

Bado presented National Journal's ranking of Senate seats most likely to flip (West Virginia first, Montana second, Ohio third, Texas ninth, Nebraska tenth), said Democrats' late money in Texas is likely too little too late to flip that seat, and maintained the presidential race is still Trump's to lose.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b5ccb123-99db-4def-abda-174f446c39f4

### Oct 23, 2024 — scored 50 across 4 calls

Asked to pick among four scenarios, Bado said the most likely outcome is a narrow Trump victory with Republicans flipping the Senate — including Mike Rogers winning Michigan's open Senate seat — while Democrats take the House.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/03f2e069-9eee-4da8-866b-efe71827bc55


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=kirk-bado