# Kyle "Gump" Cathcart — prediction record



## Is Kyle "Gump" Cathcart accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Kyle "Gump" Cathcart scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -2.5, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 50%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -2.5
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Oct 22, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Gumpy predicted the Miami Dolphins would get a big win over the Jets on Sunday.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/527bc9d5-bef1-4edd-b53c-c061e4062890

### Oct 15, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Gumpy picked the Seahawks over the Broncos on Thursday night.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b1a8173b-71b1-4065-a894-69fc576bf4d2


---

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=kyle-gump-cathcart