# LaVar Arrington — prediction record

LaVar Arrington played linebacker in the NFL for seven seasons after Penn State, drafted second overall by the Washington Redskins in 2000 and later a member of the New York Giants. Since retiring, Arrington has built a broadcasting career that includes pregame and postgame work for Comcast SportsNet, a weekday radio show on 106.7 The Fan in Washington, D.C., a stint on NFL Network's NFL AM, and time as a football analyst on FS1's Speak For Yourself. In September 2021, Arrington joined Brady Quinn and Jonas Knox as a host of 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe, Fox Sports Radio's morning drive show, where the predictions graded here appear. The calls cover game outcomes, playoff races, division winners and conference champions across the Eagles, Ravens, Vikings, Chiefs, Steelers, Broncos, Chargers and Bengals, along with individual players such as Deshaun Watson, Brian Burns and Kayvon Thibodeaux.

## Is LaVar Arrington accurate?

Across 41 graded calls in 5 articles, LaVar Arrington scores 39.71% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -4.82, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 39.71%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -4.82
- **Graded articles:** 5
- **Graded individual calls:** 41
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 20% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (5)

### Sep 19, 2025 — scored 80 across 3 calls

Arrington sees the Dolphins winning only three or four more games the rest of the way, expects Baltimore to beat Miami, money-lined the Broncos outright at the Chargers and the Lions outright in Baltimore, and agreed the Chiefs will blow out the Giants.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/05604dc3-2463-48d5-94b7-e226e53a304b

### Sep 12, 2025 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls

Arrington rejects the Raiders hype ("putting makeup on a pig") and lays out Washington's upcoming slate as winnable, saying the Commanders should beat the Raiders, Falcons and Bears. For Week 2 they take the Saints on the money line over the 49ers, the Cowboys over the Giants, and the Chiefs on the money line against the Eagles.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a81b7948-a9b4-44e5-8773-4611836b5c48

### Sep 4, 2025 — scored 31.88 across 8 calls

Arrington gave AFC division finishing orders without records: Bengals over Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Cleveland; Buffalo winning the East by a long shot with Miami second, the Jets third and New England last; Houston winning the South ahead of Jacksonville, Tennessee and Indianapolis; and the Chargers winning the West over Kansas City, Denver and Las Vegas.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0df4851e-f78c-47d3-a013-ed3b9890e86c

### Sep 4, 2025 — scored 37.5 across 8 calls

LaVar Arrington picked Minnesota to win the NFC North, Philadelphia the East, Tampa Bay the South and Arizona the West, with Seattle finishing last in the West.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8222d658-922f-4afc-9e1f-a0859361df61

### Sep 4, 2025 — scored 31.58 across 19 calls

Arrington picked division winners in both conferences, had Baltimore beating Buffalo to reach the Super Bowl and Philadelphia beating Green Bay in the NFC, with the Ravens winning it all.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deeb2973-d1ea-40be-972a-f0e36732e76c


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=lavar-arrington
