# Logan Lazarczyk — prediction record

Logan Lazarczyk covers the Las Vegas Raiders for Sports Illustrated, writing on game outcomes, player movement and stat projections. The work names Brock Bowers, Maxx Crosby and Jackson Powers-Johnson, among others, and tracks the Raiders through trade deadlines and playoff math.

## Is Logan Lazarczyk accurate?

Across 6 graded calls in 6 articles, Logan Lazarczyk scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 85.17, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 85.17
- **Graded articles:** 6
- **Graded individual calls:** 6
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 60.29% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (6)

### Nov 10, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800

### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1

### Sep 12, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Lazarczyk argues the Raiders' Week 1 home opener against a gutted, tanking Dolphins team should be an easy win, saying Las Vegas has no excuse to lose.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c2be39f-6afa-4429-992c-7f790d7a5dc2

### Sep 2, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Lazarczyk argues the Raiders must beat the Dolphins in Week 1, calling Miami arguably the league's worst team.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3e67b29c-46b7-46f4-bcdd-8f9755017677

### Aug 26, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Lazarczyk predicts the Raiders will beat the Miami Dolphins in Week 1 even without Ashton Jeanty, and that rookie Mike Washington Jr. could function as an effective three-down back if Jeanty misses time.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/53588795-f3f7-4bff-8b62-c02a6d194ff2

### Aug 8, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Lazarczyk predicts Kirk Cousins will be the Raiders' Week 1 starting quarterback, with rookie Fernando Mendoza beginning the season on the bench as the backup.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5838d69b-6662-43f9-8753-71cf15fb7861


---

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=logan-lazarczyk